Jos heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 9 hours ago
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2/10 Total Odd: 6.21
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Tennis/ French Open Women 2017 / Monday 29 May 2017 - 10:30

Elise Mertens - Daria Gavrilova

Daria Gavrilova -1.5(Set Handicap, Full Event) @ 1.91
3/10 Odd: 1.91
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Tennis/ French Open 2017 / Monday 29 May 2017 - 10:15

Benoit Paire - Rafael Nadal

Over 27.5(Over Under, Full Event) @ 1.83
2/10 Odd: 1.83
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Tennis/ French Open 2017 / Monday 29 May 2017 - 09:00

Gilles Simon - Nikoloz Basilashvili

Gilles Simon -4.5(Game handicap, Full Event) @ 1.91
3/10 Odd: 1.91
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Tennis/ French Open Women 2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 08:00

Madison Brengle-Julia Goerges

Julia Goerges (Home Away,Whole Match) @ 1.53
10/10 Odd: 1.53
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Football/ Serie A 2016/2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 17:45

Torino FC-Sassuolo

Sassuolo (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 4.50
10/10 Odd: 4.50
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Torino – Sassuolo


BE AWARE THAT THIS IS A BET WITH A DECENT RISK.


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Torino and Sassuolo meet each other in a game that will be just for fun with nothing at stake. And of course it will be a game for us as betters! And I do see opportunities here.


Torino had a decent season and are currently in 9th position after 37 games. They won 12 of them, drew 14 and lost 11. In these games they scored 66 goals and conceded 63. Their averages are 1.78 goals scored and 1.70 conceded. They mostly were a pain in the ass for the big teams, but dropped some points against the lower ranked teams. Their home results are not that different from their overall results. The got a little more points at home (7 points more). Their averages are a little higher with 2.11 goals scored per game and 1.56 goals conceded.


The fact that Torino are done with their season for a while is clear if we look at their latest results. Torino won only one game in their last 5 (L L D D W) and this was a win over Chievo (14) and this one was in the period where they still hoped for a European miracle. In these last 5 games Torino scored 6 goals and conceded 10. It gives them a scoring average of 1.2 goals per game and an average of 2 goals allowed per game which is a huge difference with their overall averages. It is clear that Torino is not in form lately. Torino will suffer some injury’s in this game as they miss key players Ljajic (33), Zappacosta (29), Carlao (31) and Lopez (16). These players together are good for 18 goals of the 66 goals this season.


Possible line-up Torino:


Hart; Barecca, Moretti, Rossettini, Silvestri; Baselli , Acquah, Boye, Falque, Iturbe; Belotti


KEYSTATS


♣ Ljajic will not be available for this game


♣ Huge difference in overall averages (1.78/1.70) and last 5 games (1.2/2)


♣ Terrible form lately


Sassuolo are not that different from Torino. They ended in 11th position in the Serie A with 4 points less than Torino. They won 13, drew 7 and lost 17 in 37 games in which they scored 55 goals and conceded 58. Their averages on these games are 1.49 scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Compared to Torino they score a little less goals but they also concede less goals per game. Away Sassuolo ended in 8th position with 28 goals scored and 30 conceded in 18 games giving them an average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. So they concede a little more away from home but they score almost the same number of goals.


Here comes the interesting part. Sassuolo their latest form is amazing. They are unbeaten for 7 games in a row in the Serie A and this includes big games against Inter (2-1 win), Fiorentina (2-2), Napoli (2-2) and Atalanta (1-1). In the last 5 games of Sassuolo they scored 15 goals and conceded 8 which brings averages like 3 goals scored per game and 1.6 goals conceded per game. Compare this to their overall averages of 1.49 and 1.59, huge difference.


Sassuolo will only miss Duncan (21) and Ricci (24) who have scored 3 goals so far together.


Possible line-up Sassuolo


Consigli; Peluso, Antel, Acerbi, Lirola; Missiroli, Sensi, Blondini; Politano, Iemmello, Berardi


KEYSTATS


♣ Amazing form lately


♣ Huge difference in overall averages (1.49/1.59) and last 5 (3/1.6)


I will back Sassuolo to win @4.5.


Good luck!


IMPORTANT: Of course this is a bet with a serious amount of risk, thats why I do not stake max. But the odds are great and I do see a Sassuolo win here.

Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 1 day ago
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Tennis/ French Open 2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 09:30

Ivo Karlovic-Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ivo Karlovic -1.5 (Set Handicap,Whole Match) @ 2.25
10/10 Odd: 2.25
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Karlovic versus Tsitsipas


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Finally, Rolland Garros. Actually I have been waiting for this!


An interesting game in my eyes is Karlovic versus Tsitsipas. Karlovic is one of my favourite players and one reason is his stunning serve. For a long time the record of fastest service was on his name. Karlovic is more of a grass player, this is where he gets his best results. His results on clay have not been that good for a while but he did get two pretty good wins lately against Bautista-Agut and Dzumhur, who are not bad players at all.


Karlovic have had the time to prepare for Roland Garros since his last match he played at 10/05 which is more than two weeks a go so he should be fully prepared. He have never faced Tsitsipas before on any surface till this meeting. Last year Karlovic reached to round 3 in RG and I do see him reach at least second round here. In 2016 Karlovic lost only one big tournament in the first round. Tsitsipas should not be dangerous to him in my opinion.


Tsitsipas is in better form than Karlovic on clay with 4 wins in the last 5 but all against lower ranked players than Karlovic. The only player who is higher ranked and got beaten by Tsitsipas lately is Vesely. He got beaten with 1:2 with a tiebreak in the last set.


Tsitsipas will have a hard job breaking Karlovic as Karlovic his right handed serve will be deadly if he serves it well on the left of Tsitsipas as he is a right-handed player as well. I do not think that Tsitsipas will have an answer to this.

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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 18:00

FC Lorient-AC Troyes AC

FC Lorient (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.75
10/10 Odd: 1.75
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Lorient – Troyes


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Lorient is will have to dig deep to find the strength to turnover a 2-1 loss away from home against Troyes. Troyes has shown that they are really willing to fight for their promotion and as everyone expected they got a win at home. I actually did not expect a Troyes win there. Even tough the difference in quality between the bottom of the Ligue 1 and the top of the ligue 2 is not that big, there is certainly a difference in quality. Lorient is a team with quality who created quite a fight against some big opponents.


Lorient ended in 18th position with 44 goals scored and 70(!) conceded in 38 games. Their scoring average is 1,15 and they conceded 1,84 goals per game on average. The Lorient form has been terrible without a single win in the last 5 games (L D L D L). Their last win is from 22-04-2017. We should notice that it was not a small win (5-1) and that the win was at home against Metz. Metz does not seem interesting to me, the fact that it was at home does. Lorient did not lose a game at home in the last 4 games played. The last game they lost at home was against PSG where they did put up a fight (1-2 loss) and the games before were a loss against Marseille and one against Nice.


So we can conclude that they do show good results at home where they are stronger. At home Lorient ended in 16th position with 25 goals scored in 19 games and 29 conceded. Their average here is 1.32 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Please notice the difference in their overall averages and their home averages.Lorient scored 9 goals in their last 5 games at home and conceded only 5 which gives them an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. So their average in the last 5 games is even better. Lorient dictated the game at Troyes more than Troyes did and here at their own Stadium they will dictate it even more.


Marveaux (24) and Hamel (3) will be out for this match. Together these two players are good for 6 goals in this season. Moukandjo who had to start from the bench last game will most likely be fit enough to start this one. He is the top goalgetter of Lorient with 13 goals so far this season.


KEYSTATS


♣ Lorient get better results at home


♣ Huge difference in the averages overall (1.15/1.84) and last 5 at home (1.8/1)


Troyes on the other hand is in quite good form. They have been unbeaten for 7 games in a row. Still it is Ligue 2, hard to compare this to Ligue 1. Troyes got to these play-offs by ending in 3rd place in the Ligue 2. They scored 59 goals and conceded 43 in 38 games which brings averages as 1.37 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded. Still if we look at Troyes away in Ligue 2 it is surprising that they end in 7th based on just the away games. With 6 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in 19 away games. They scored 25 goals and conceded 29 in these 19 games. It gives an average of 1,31 goals scored and 1,53 goals conceded.


So the thing that I noticed is that they seem to allow more goals away from home where there scoring average is almost the same. Their last 5 games also show the difference between their games at home and away. Troyes won 3, lost 1 and drew 1 away. Scoring 11 goals in these games but also allowing 9 in these games. This again shows that Troyes allow a lot more goals away from home than they do at home. Troyes did not control the game at home and they will certainly not control this one. They will most likely defend their win at home, but I do not think that the win at home will be enough.


No one will be out for this one at the Troyes site as far as I know. Whenever someone has other information please place it in the comments. I will comment as well whenever I see any news.


KEYSTATS.


♣ Troyes won only one game of the 6 played away against Lorient


♣ Troyes allow a lot more goals away from home


♣ Huge difference in averages conceded goals overall (1.13) and last 5 away (1.8)


My pick will be Lorient to win this at home @1.75!


Good luck!

Jos heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 2 days ago
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Football/ Eredivisie 2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 10:30

FC Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar

Over 2.5(Over Under, Full Time Excluding Overtime) @ 1.53
3/10 Odd: 1.53
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Football/ DFB Pokal 2016/2017 / Saturday 27 May 2017 - 18:00

Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund (1X2, Full Time Excluding Overtime) @ 1.44
3/10 Odd: 1.44
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Football/ FA Cup 2016/2017 / Saturday 27 May 2017 - 15:30

Arsenal-Chelsea

Chelsea (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.80
4/10 Odd: 1.80
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Football/ Eredivisie 2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 09:30

FC Utrecht-AZ Alkmaar

FC Utrecht (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 2.10
10/10 Odd: 2.10
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Utrecht – Alkmaar


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


The return of the play-off final in the Netherlands will be played on Sunday. Utrecht will see AZ in this game, but this time at their own Stadium. It will be a really hard task to turn around the first game which they lost with 3-0 at AZ, but Dutch games have shown before that nothing is impossible. Utrecht finished 4th in the Eredivisie with a big number of 11 points ahead of Vitesse. They scored 54 goals and conceded 38 in 34 games played, giving them the average of 1.59 goals scored on average and 1.12 conceded. Decent averages if you ask me. Utrecht are most good in scoring goals in the right time and against the right opponent.


The Utrecht form has been amazing in the last games played. In the last 15 games in all competitions Utrecht only lost 3 and drew 2. This includes a loss against the Champions Feyenoord and the loss of this week against AZ. They conceded 16 goals in these games and scored 26. So their scoring average is higher in the last 15 games and their conceded goals average is lower than over the whole season. Even more impressing is Utrecht their form at home. Utrecht won their last 5 games at home. In the last 15 played at home they lost only 2 with one loss against Europa league finalist Ajax Amsterdam. FC Utrecht conceded only 1 goal in their last 5 games at home. One thing to say: ‘Amazing form’.


Utrecht will be almost complete for this one. They will miss Joosten, Strieder and Conboy, but they had to deal with this for a long period so it should not be a problem anymore.


♣ Utrecht are in great form at home


♣ Conceded only 1 goal in last 5 home games


AZ have had a pretty dramatic season actually. They finished 6th in the Eredivisie with a small number of points ahead of FC Twente and the others. AZ scored 56 goals so far and conceded 52, averaging 1.65 goals per game scored and 1.53 goals conceded. This also shows the biggest problem of AZ this season, they simply concede to many stupid goals this season and it is the story of their season. AZ Came to this final by beating Groningen twice with 4-1. Besides the great last games of Groningen, it is not really a steady team so I did not see this as a really big surprise and a great result. These wins were wins they had to get. The more the win against Utrecht at home surprised me. I expected Utrecht to make it a lot more difficult for AZ, which they did not.


AZ have had a decent form, but that is their overall form. Their away form shows something different. If we look at their overall form away from home they only won 4 in the last 10. Losing against opponents like NEC (16). Drawing against Willem 2 (13), Excelsior, Roda (17).


Of course the last game is important, AZ won with 3-0 so the pressure is with Utrecht and they will seek for attack. AZ does not need a win, even a loss is good enough to get a EL ticket.


AZ are having some troubles. Jahanbakhsh, who is one of their keyplayers missed the first game already and might miss this one too. Also Calvin Stengs who was of big importance could miss this game. Both are unsure.


♣ Jahanbakhsh and Stengs are unsure


♣ AZ already won 3-0 and do not need a win


♣ AZ not that good away from home


My pick will be Utrecht to win at home @2.10.


Odds are dropping! Good luck!

Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 2 days ago
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Tennis/ WTA Strasbourg 2017 / Saturday 27 May 2017 - 12:00

Samantha Stosur-Daria Gavrilova

Samantha Stosur (Home Away,Whole Match) @ 1.80
10/10 Odd: 1.80
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Gavrilova - Stosur.


I can make a big preview of this one but I don't think I have to. Gavrilova will face Stosur in the final of Strasbourg. Stosur already showed that she is an amazing player, but in this tournament she still surprised me. In one match especially, the one against Suarez Navarro. I actually expected a win for Suarez Navarro, might even be a 2:0. In stead Stosur showed the better of the play, leaving Suarez-Navarro no chance and won 0:2. As a matter of fact Stosur did not lose a single set in this tournament in Strasbourg!


♣ Stosur did not lose a set so far in this tournament


♣ Stosur beat Suarez Navarro with 0:2


Gavrilova also showed a good tournament, but she faced opponents from a lower level than Stosur did if you ask me. Of course Garcia is a strong opponent but she's different from Peng and Suarez Navarro. So I do think that Gavrilova her amazing tournament will end here against Stosur who is in amazing form and will grab the title here.


Stosur to win @1.80 is a sure win to me!

Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 2 days ago
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Tennis/ ATP Geneva 2017 / Saturday 27 May 2017 - 12:00

Stanislas Wawrinka-Mischa Zverev

Mischa Zverev (Home Away,Whole Match) @ 4.33
8/10 Odd: 4.33
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A big game if you like tennis like me!


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Wawrinka will play Zverev in a game which will be more close than some of us expect. Both players have had an amazing tournament to reach this final. Stan Wavrinka of course enters this final as favorite with his 3rd ranking. His latest games are alright on clay with 4 wins out of 5. He lost against Isner in Rome with an unexpected 0:2 in sets. After losing the first one in the tiebreak he lost the second with 4:6. After this loss he got wins over Silva who retired, Querry and Kznetsov. Last one did not go easy. First set went to Wawrinka quite easy but for the second one he had to win the tiebreak. Still it did bring him to the final. Wawrinka is not in the best form of his life with 5 wins in the last 10 games played on this surface.


♣ 50% win on his last 10 games on this surface


All my respects go to Zverev on the other hand. He really played a great tournament so far. He won quite unexpected in the game against the Dutchman Haase and after that he managed to beat Isner (22) in 2 sets, Johnson in 2 sets and the biggest surprise of all was his win over Nishikori in my eyes. I did not see that one coming, he won in 3 sets 6:4, 3:6, 6:3 and showed some amazing tennis. Zverev is unbeaten for 6 games in a row on clay now and I do think he will continue this flow.


♣ 70% win on his last 10 on this surface


♣ Great tournament form, win over Nishikori


I will back Zverev in this one @4.33!


Goodluck!


Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 2 days ago
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Football/ Serie A 2016/2017 / Saturday 27 May 2017 - 15:00

Bologna F.C.-Juventus FC

Juventus FC (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.73
10/10 Odd: 1.73
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Bologna – Juventus


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Last round in the Serie A and the Champions will visit Bologna. Odds were extremely high but dropped enormous. Bologna are also done for the season. They are currently in 15th position and they could only move up to 14th position and pass Chievo. Bologna scored 39 goals and conceded 56 which gives them an average of 1.05 goals scored and 1.51 conceded and this brought them 41 points so far. Their form is decent with 2 wins, 3 losses in the last 5 games played. They scored 10 goals and conceded 10 as well which makes the maths easy with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game. They achieved wins over Pescara (20) and Udinese (12) at home.


Bologna their form at home is not that much different from their form away. They won 3 games and lost 2. The wins were all over quite low ranked teams with wins over Pescara (20) Udinese (12) and Chievo (14). The losses were against the bigger teams, Roma (2) and Lazio (4). In these games against the big teams they did not manage to score any goal and conceded 5. Actually Bologna did not win any game against a team in the current top 6 of this season, not even the current top 8. They only defeated Torino (9) ones. Bologna scored only 1 goal in the last 5 games against Juventus at theur own stadium.


The player who is unsure for this one at Bologna side is Verdi (28) who already scored 6 goals this season for Bologna and is a key player in the Bologna team.


Possible line-up Bologna:


Bologna (4-3-3): Mirante; Torosidis, Gastaldello, Helander, Mbaye; Donsah, Taider, Pulgar; Verdi (?), Destro, Krejci


♣ Bologna are done as well, lack of quality


♣ Bologna did only score one goal against Juventus in the last 5 games played against them at home


♣ Bologna did not win a single game against the top 6 this season


Juventus are the fresh champions of the Serie A. They are in first position with 88 points out of 37. Scoring 75 goals and conceding 26, it gives them an average of 2.03 scored goals and only 0.70 goals conceded per game. With these amazing numbers Juve only lost 5 of their games and drew 4 of them, winning 28. Their form is bad comparing to their season appearance with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Scoring 11 (2.2 average) and conceding 6 (1.2 average). So it seems that the Juve defense is a little bit sloppier lately and that they have some bad luck as the averages are still pretty good. The loss was against Roma and can be explained by the cup final they had ahead. They drew against Torino (9) and Atalanta (5) (late equalizer). So also the opponents against who they dropped some points were not bad at all.


Juve their away form is not that different because the last five away games include the ones against Roma and Atalanta but actually their away form is not even interested. The high odds on Juventus were obviously because everyone expected them to play with a full B-team because of the big champions league final, but latest news tells us different. Eurosport.it gave us the possible line-up which contains a lot of stars and as result the odds dropped very fast. The possible-line up is below. Besides the last time that Juventus lost against Bologna has been in 1999.


Possible line-up Juventus


Juventus (4-2-3-1): Audero; Lichtsteiner, Bonucci, Benatia, Asamoah; Marchisio, Khedira; Cuadrado, Dybala, Mandzukic; Higuain.


KEYSTATS


♣ Juventus will not play with a B-team.


♣ Juventus haven't lost agaisnt Bologna since 1999.


Pick will be Juve to win @1.72, good luck!

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