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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Sunday 28 May 2017 - 18:00

FC Lorient-AC Troyes AC

FC Lorient (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.75
10/10 Odd: 1.75
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Lorient – Troyes


Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.


Lorient is will have to dig deep to find the strength to turnover a 2-1 loss away from home against Troyes. Troyes has shown that they are really willing to fight for their promotion and as everyone expected they got a win at home. I actually did not expect a Troyes win there. Even tough the difference in quality between the bottom of the Ligue 1 and the top of the ligue 2 is not that big, there is certainly a difference in quality. Lorient is a team with quality who created quite a fight against some big opponents.


Lorient ended in 18th position with 44 goals scored and 70(!) conceded in 38 games. Their scoring average is 1,15 and they conceded 1,84 goals per game on average. The Lorient form has been terrible without a single win in the last 5 games (L D L D L). Their last win is from 22-04-2017. We should notice that it was not a small win (5-1) and that the win was at home against Metz. Metz does not seem interesting to me, the fact that it was at home does. Lorient did not lose a game at home in the last 4 games played. The last game they lost at home was against PSG where they did put up a fight (1-2 loss) and the games before were a loss against Marseille and one against Nice.


So we can conclude that they do show good results at home where they are stronger. At home Lorient ended in 16th position with 25 goals scored in 19 games and 29 conceded. Their average here is 1.32 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Please notice the difference in their overall averages and their home averages.Lorient scored 9 goals in their last 5 games at home and conceded only 5 which gives them an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. So their average in the last 5 games is even better. Lorient dictated the game at Troyes more than Troyes did and here at their own Stadium they will dictate it even more.


Marveaux (24) and Hamel (3) will be out for this match. Together these two players are good for 6 goals in this season. Moukandjo who had to start from the bench last game will most likely be fit enough to start this one. He is the top goalgetter of Lorient with 13 goals so far this season.


KEYSTATS


♣ Lorient get better results at home


♣ Huge difference in the averages overall (1.15/1.84) and last 5 at home (1.8/1)


Troyes on the other hand is in quite good form. They have been unbeaten for 7 games in a row. Still it is Ligue 2, hard to compare this to Ligue 1. Troyes got to these play-offs by ending in 3rd place in the Ligue 2. They scored 59 goals and conceded 43 in 38 games which brings averages as 1.37 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded. Still if we look at Troyes away in Ligue 2 it is surprising that they end in 7th based on just the away games. With 6 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in 19 away games. They scored 25 goals and conceded 29 in these 19 games. It gives an average of 1,31 goals scored and 1,53 goals conceded.


So the thing that I noticed is that they seem to allow more goals away from home where there scoring average is almost the same. Their last 5 games also show the difference between their games at home and away. Troyes won 3, lost 1 and drew 1 away. Scoring 11 goals in these games but also allowing 9 in these games. This again shows that Troyes allow a lot more goals away from home than they do at home. Troyes did not control the game at home and they will certainly not control this one. They will most likely defend their win at home, but I do not think that the win at home will be enough.


No one will be out for this one at the Troyes site as far as I know. Whenever someone has other information please place it in the comments. I will comment as well whenever I see any news.


KEYSTATS.


♣ Troyes won only one game of the 6 played away against Lorient


♣ Troyes allow a lot more goals away from home


♣ Huge difference in averages conceded goals overall (1.13) and last 5 away (1.8)


My pick will be Lorient to win this at home @1.75!


Good luck!

Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 9 months ago
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Friday 28 April 2017 - 17:45

Angers SCO-Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 2.15
10/10 Odd: 2.15
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Marc heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 10 months ago
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Football/ Ligue 2 2016/2017 / Monday 17 April 2017 - 17:45

Racing Club Strasbourg-AC Ajaccio

Racing Club Strasbourg (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.57
10/10 Odd: 1.57
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Sunday 09 April 2017 - 18:00

Paris Saint Germain FC-EA Guingamp

Handicap Winner Paris Saint-Germain FC -2 (1X2 with Handicap,Ordinary Time) @ 2.15
5/10 Odd: 2.15
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Vincent heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 10 months ago
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Saturday 08 April 2017 - 14:00

Angers SCO-AS Monaco

AS Monaco (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.73
4/10 Odd: 1.73
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Vincent heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 10 months ago
+7% (656)
4/10 Total Odd: 3.69
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Friday 31 March 2017 - 16:00

EA Guingamp-AS Nancy Lorraine

EA Guingamp (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.91
10/10 Odd: 1.91
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Vincent heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 10 months ago
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6/10 Total Odd: 3.09
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Kevin Bodson heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 11 months ago
-6% (813)
10/10 Total Odd: 1.68
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Vincent heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 11 months ago
+7% (656)
10/10 Total Odd: 3.06
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Kevin Bodson heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 11 months ago
-6% (813)
10/10 Total Odd: 1.80
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Saturday 04 March 2017 - 19:00

Montpellier HSC-EA Guingamp

Yes(Both Teams To Score,Ordinary Time) @ 1.76
10/10 Odd: 1.76
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Vincent heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 11 months ago
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5/10 Total Odd: 3.48
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Saturday 04 March 2017 - 19:00

Dijon FCO-OGC Nice

OGC Nice (Draw No Bet,Ordinary Time) @ 1.57
4/10 Odd: 1.57
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erikverhoeve heeft een tip gepubliceerd: 11 months ago
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Football/ Ligue 1 2016/2017 / Sunday 05 March 2017 - 20:00

AS Monaco-FC Nantes

AS Monaco (1X2,Ordinary Time) @ 1.36
7/10 Odd: 1.36
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